2008

Air Travel at the Edge of Chaos
George Donohue (Ph.D.)
Proceedings International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
June 1-4, 2008

NEW Book! Terminal Chaos: Why U.S. Air Travel is Broken and How to Fix It
George L. Donohue, Russell D. Shaver III, with Eric Edwards
American Institute of Aeronautics & Astronautics, Library of Flight, Editor: Ned Allen
Spring, 2008.

Contrast-Set Mining of Aircraft Accidents and Incidents
Zohreh Nazeri (Ph.D.)
Book Chapter: Advances in Data Mining. Medical Applications, E-Commerce, Marketing, and Theoretical Aspects
Publisher: Springer Berlin / Heidelberg

New Report! U.S. Airline Passenger Trip Delay: Annual Report (2007)
Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), George Donohue (Ph.D.)
Center for Air Transportation Systems Research, George Mason University
April 22, 2008

Dissertation: Decision Support Tool for Predicting Aircraft Arrival Rates from Weather Forecasts [17MB]
David Smith (Ph.D.), Director: Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Dissertation, Volgeneau School of Information Technology & Engineering, George Mason University
March 22, 2008

Automated Tool for Task Analysis of NextGen Automation
Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Maricel Medina (M.Sc. Candidate), Micheal Feary (Ph.D., NASA), Captain John Otiker (SWA)
Proceedings of the Eighth Integrated Communications, Navigation and Surveillance (ICNS) Conference (2008), Bethesda, MD
May 5-7, 2008

The Impact of Ground Delay Program (GDP) Rationing Rules on Passenger and Airline Equity
Bengi Manley (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Proceedings of the Eighth Integrated Communications, Navigation and Surveillance (ICNS) Conference (2008), Bethesda, MD
May 5-7, 2008

Metroplex Operations: Case Study of New York Metroplex Air Transportation System
George Donohue (Ph.D., GMU), Karla Hoffman (Ph.D., GMU), Liya Wang (Ph.D., GMU), Dan DeLaurentis (Ph.D., Purdue), Graduate Students (GMU & Purdue)
NASA Airspace Systems Program, Austin, TX, 2008
March 20, 2008

The Impact of Ground Delay Program (GDP) Rationing Rules on Passenger and Airline Equity
Bengi Manley (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Proceedings International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Passenger Flow Simulation (PFS) In A Complex Networked Transportation System
Danyi Wang (Ph.D., Metron Aviation), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), George Donohue (Ph.D.), Bert Hackney (Metron Aviation)
Submitted International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Decision Support Tool for Predicting Aircraft Arrival Rates, Ground Delay Programs, and Airport Delays from Weather Forecasts
David A. Smith (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), George Donohue (Ph.D.)
Submitted International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Passenger Trip Delays in the U.S. Airline Transportation System In 2007
Guillermo Calderon-Meza (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), George Donohue (Ph.D.)
Submitted International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Automation for Task Analysis of Next Generation Air Traffic Management Systems
Maricel Medina (M.Sc. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Michael Feary (Ph.D., NASA-ARC)
Submitted International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Analyzing Relationships Between Aircraft Accidents and Incidents: A Data Mining Approach
Zohreh Nazeri (Ph.D., Mitre), George Donohue (Ph.D.), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Submitted International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Analysis of Air Transportation for the New York Metroplex: Summer 2007
Liya Wang (Ph.D.), George Donohue (Ph.D.), Karla Hoffman (Ph.D.),Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Rosa Oseguera-Lohr (Ph.D., NASA-ARC)
Submitted International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Comparison of Data Envelopment Analysis Methods Used in Airport Benchmarking
David Schaar (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Submitted International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Analysis of Emissions Inventory for “Single-Engine Taxi-out" Operations
Vivek Kumar (M.Sc.), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Terry Thompson (Ph.D., Metron Aviation)
Submitted International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT-2008), Fairfax, VA, 2008
Feb, 2008

Looking for the Capacity in NGATS
George Donohue (Ph.D.), John Shortle (Ph.D.), Babak Jeddi (Ph.D. Candidate)
Invited Talk: Transportation Research Board: NextGen Research on Aviation Capacity (Session Lead: Eugene Gilbo, Volpe Center)
Monday Jan 14, 2008

Statistical Comparison of Passenger Trip Delay and Flight Delay Metrics
Danyi Wang (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Ning Xu (Ph.D. Candidate), Melanie Larson (M.Sc. Candidate)
Transportation Research Board, 88th Annual Meeting, January 11-15, 2008, Washington, D.C.
2008

Taxi-out Predictions using Approximate Dynamic Programming
Poornima Balakrishna (Ph.D. Candidate), Rajesh Ganesan (Ph.D.), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Transportation Research Board, 88th Annual Meeting, January 11-15, 2008, Washington, D.C.
2008

Multi-factor Model for Predicting Delays at U.S. Airports
Ning Xu (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Kathryn Laskey (Ph.D.)
Transportation Research Board, 88th Annual Meeting, January 11-15, 2008, Washington, D.C.
2008

Decision Support Tool for Predicting Ground Delay Programs (GDP) and Airport Delays from Weather Forecast Data
David Smith (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Transportation Research Board, 88th Annual Meeting, January 11-15, 2008, Washington, D.C. (Poster)
2008

Sensitivity of System Performance and Equity to User Cooperation in the Arrival Flow: Guidelines for NextGen
Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Vivek Kumar (M.Sc.), Bengi Manley (Ph.D.), Maria Consiglio (NASA, Ph.D.)
Transportation Research Board, 88th Annual Meeting, January 11-15, 2008, Washington, D.C.(Poster)
2008

Syllabus: OR750/SYST660 Air Transportation System Engineering [doc]
Instructor: Lance Sherry (Ph.D.) Assoc. Professor - Research, SEOR & Exec. Dir. Center for Air Transportation Systems Research (CATSR)
Spring Semester 2008, System Engineering & Operations Research Department, George Mason University
Jan 14, 2008

2007

Dissertation: Method for Deriving Multi-Factor Models for Predicting Airport Delays
Ning Xu (Ph.D.), Co-Directors: Kathryn Laskey (Ph.D.), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Dissertation, Volgeneau School of Information Technology & Engineering, George Mason University
Dec 07, 2007

Air Travel at the Edge of Chaos
George Donohue (Ph.D.)
NASA Ames Research Center - Directors Forum
Nov 16, 2007

Evidence that Airport Pricing Works
George Donohue (Ph.D.), Karla Hoffman(Ph.D.), Robert W. Poole Jr. (Reason Foundation)
Reason Foundation, Policy Brief No. 67
Nov 15, 2007

Dissertation: Cross Data-base Analysis to Identify Relationships Between Aircraft Accidents and Incidents
Zohreh Nazeri (Ph.D.), Advisor: George Donohue (Ph.D.)
Dissertation, Volgeneau School of Information Technology & Engineering, George Mason University
October 2007

GreenFlights.INFO - The Airline Travel website for Passengers that Care
Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Danyi Wang (Ph.D.), Guillermo Calderon-Meza (Ph.D. Candidate)
Prototype Website
2007

NEXTOR Short Course: Aviation and the Environment - Issues and Methods
Dr. Terry Thomposn (Ph.D.) Affiliate Researcher, George Mason University
NEXTOR Workshop, George Mason University, Fairfax Campus, Research 1 Building
September 27-28, 2007

Dissertation: Methods For Analysis Of Passenger Trip Performance In A Complex Networked Transportation System
Danyi Wang (Ph.D.), Advisor: Lance Sherry(Ph.D.)
Dissertation, Systems Engineering and Operations Research Department, George Mason University
July 2007

Market-Based Alternatives for Managing Congestion at New York’s LaGuardia Airport
Michael O. Ball (University of Maryland), Lawrence M. Ausubel (University of Maryland), Frank Berardino (GRA, Inc.), Peter Cramton (University of Maryland), George Donohue (George Mason University), Mark Hansen (University of California, Berkeley), Karla Hoffman (George Mason University)
NEXTOR Center of Excellence Report
2007

Optimum Airport Capacity Utilization under Congestion Management: A Case Study of New York LaGuardia Airport
Loan Le (Ph.D.), George Donohue (Ph.D.), Karla Hoffman (Ph.D.), Chun-Hung Chen (Ph.D.)
Transportation Planning and Technology - Special Issue : Approaches for Developing the Airports of the Future
2007

Throughput, Risk, and Economic Optimality of Runway Landing Operations
Babak Jeddi (Ph.D. Candidate), John Shortle (Ph.D.)
USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar, Barcelona, Spain, Paper 162
2007

A Comparison of Wake-Vortex Models for Use in Probabilistic Aviation Safety Analysis
Babak Jeddi (Ph.D. Candidate), John Shortle (Ph.D.)
In Proceedings of the 25th International System Safety Conference, eds. A. G. Boyer and N. J. Gauthier, Baltimore, MD, 2007, System Safety Society, 581-589
2007

Air Travel Consumer Protection: A Metric for Passenger On-Time Performance
Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Danyi Wang (Ph.D. Candidate), George Donohue (Ph.D.)
CATRS/GMU Memorandum 2007
April 16, 2007

Comparison of Flight Delays and Passenger Trip Delays in the National Airspace System (NAS)
Danyi Wang (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Ning Xu (Ph.D. Candidate), George Donohue (Ph.D.)
CATRS/GMU Memorandum 2007
April 24, 2007

Air Transportation: A Tale of Prisoners, Sheep and Autocrats (Slides)
George Donohue (Professor, SEOR Dept. & Director, Center for Air Transportation Systems Research)
George Mason University, Vision Series Lecture
Januray 29, 2007

Dr. George Donhue on NBC Today Show January 29, 2007 (Video)
Director, Center for Air Transportation Systems Research
NBC Today Show
Jan 29, 2007

Adaptive Control of Multistage Airport Departure Planning Process using Approximate Dynamic Programming
Rajesh Ganesan (Ph.D.), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Submitted IIE QC
February 15, 2007

A Stochastic Dynamic Programming Approach To Taxi-out Prediction Using Reinforcement Learning
Rajesh Ganesan (Ph.D.), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Submitted ATM 2007
January 31, 2007

Bayesian Network Analysis of Flight Delays
Ning Xu (Ph.D. Candidate), Kathryn B. Laskey (Ph.D.), Chun-hung Chen (Ph.D.), Shannon C. Williams (M.Sc. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
2007 TRB 86th Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
January 21-25, 2007

Probabilistic Analysis of Wake Vortex Hazards for Landing Aircraft Using Multilateration Data
John Shortle (Ph.D.), Babak Jeddi (Ph.D. Candidate)
2007 TRB 86th Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
January 21-25, 2007

Portfolio Analysis of Air Transportation Infrastructure Investment
Bengi Mezhepoglu (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
2007 TRB 86th Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
January 21-25, 2007

Trend Analysis of Airline Passenger Trip Delays
Danyi Wang (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
2007 TRB 86th Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
January 21-25, 2007

Air Travel Consumer Protection: A Metric for Passenger On-time Performance
Lance Sherry (Ph.D.), Danyi Wang (Ph.D. Candidate)
2007 TRB 86th Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
January 21-25, 2007

SYST 660/OR 750 Air Transportation System Engineering (.doc)
Systems Engineering & Operations Research Dept.
Spring 2007, GMU, Fairfax Campus, Research I, Room 405
Tuesdays 7:20pm

Simulation of Airport Operations at La Guardia Airport (Video 32.M avi)
Talking Points (.pdf)
Jianfeng "Jeffery" Wang (Ph.D. Candidate), Sasha Klein (Ph.D.)
Total Airspace and Airports Modeller, Courtesy of Preston Group, a subsidiary of Boeing
Jan, 2007

2006

Dissertation: Demand Management at Congested Airports: How Far Are We From Utopia?
Loan Le (Ph.D. 2006). Advisor: George Donohue (Ph.D.), Karla Hoffman (Ph.D.)
Dissertation, Systems Engineering and Operations Research Department, George Mason University
July, 2006

Statistical Separation Standards for the Aircraft-Approach Process
Babak Jeddi (Ph.D. Candidate), John Shortle (Ph.D.), Lance Sherry (Ph.D.)
Proceedings of the 25th Digital Avionics Systems Conference, 2A1-1 – 2A1-13
2006

Future Airport Design Considerations
George L. Donohue, Ph.D., Director, Center for Air Transportation Systems Research
2nd International Conference on Research in Air Transportation, ICRAT 2006, Belgrade, Serbia and Montenegro
June 25, 2006

Underlying Problems and Major Research Issues Facing the US Air Transportation System
George L. Donohue, Ph.D., Director, Center for Air Transportation Systems Research
2nd International Conference on Research in Air Transportation - ICRAT 2006, Belgrade, Serbia and Montenegro
June 24, 2006

Statistics of the Approach Process at Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport
Babak Jeddi (Ph.D. Candidate), John Shortle (Ph.D.) and Lance Sherry (Ph.D)
2nd International Conference on Research in Air Transportation - ICRAT 2006, Belgrade, Serbia and Montenegro
June 24, 2006

Passenger Trip Time Metric for Air Transportation
Danyi Wang (Ph.D. Candidate), Lance Sherry (Ph.D) and George Donohue (Ph.D.)
2nd International Conference on Research in Air Transportation - ICRAT 2006, Belgrade, Serbia and Montenegro
June 24, 2006

Air Travel Consumer Protection: A Metric for Passenger On-Time Performance
Lance Sherry (Ph.D) and Danyi Wang Ph.D. Candidate)
Accepted for publication Transportion Research Record
Aug 7, 2006

Trends Analysis of Airline Passenger Trip Delays
Danyi Wang (Ph.D. Candidate) and Lance Sherry (Ph.D)
TRB 2007
Aug 7, 2006

Portfolio Analysis of Air Transportation Infrastructure Investment
Bengi Mezhepoglu (Ph.D. Candidate) and Lance Sherry (Ph.D)
TRB 2007
Aug 7, 2006

Propagation of Delays in the National Airspace System
Kathryn Laskey (Ph.D.) Ning Xu (Ph.D. Candidate) and C.H. Chen (Ph.D)
22nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, July 13th - July 16th, 2006, MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA
Aug 7, 2006

SYST 460/560 Introduction to Air Traffic Control

Fall 2006, GMU, Fairfax Campus, Research I, Room 405

2005

Intelligent Simulation for Alternatives Comparison and Application to Air Traffic Management
Chen, C. H. (Ph.D.), and D. He (Ph.D. Candidate)
Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, Vol. 14, No. 1, pp.37-51.
March 2005

Auction-Based Slot Allocation for Traffic Demand Management at Hartsfield Atlanta International Airport: A Case Study
Chen, Le, L. (Ph.D. Candidate), G. L. Donohue (Ph.D.), and C. H. Chen (Ph.D.)
Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1888, pp. 50-58
January 2005

Estimation of Delay Propagation in the NAS Using Bayesian Networks
Xu, N.(Ph.D. Candidate), G. Donohue (Ph.D.), K. Laskey (Ph.D.), and C. H. Chen (Ph.D.)
Proceedings of 2005 Air Traffic Management Seminar, Baltimore, MD
June 2005

Quantitative estimation of wake vortex safety using the P2P model
Xie, Y., J. Shortle, P. Choroba
6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar, Baltimore, MD, Paper 57
2005

Applying qualitative hazard analysis to support quantitative safety analysis for proposed reduced wake separation conops
Shortle, J., M. Allocco
6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar, Baltimore, MD, Paper 82
April, 2005

2004

Simulating collision probabilities of landing airplanes at non-towered airports
Shortle, J., Y. Xie, C.H. Chen, G. Donohue
Simulation: Transactions of the Society for Modeling and Simulation International, 80(1), 21-31.
2004

Assessment of wake vortex separation distance using the WAVIR toolset
Speijker, L., G. van Baren, L. Sherry, J. Shortle, F. Rico-Cusi
Proceedings of the 23rd Digital Avionics Systems Conference, Salt Lake City, UT, 2.E.2.1-2.E.2.11
2004

Airport terminal-approach safety and capacity analysis using an agent-based model
Xie, Y., J. Shortle, G. Donohue
Proceedings of the 2004 Winter Simulation Conference, Ingalls, R., et al. (eds.), 1349-1357
2004

Landing safety analysis of an independent arrival runway
Xie, Y., J. Shortle
Proceedings of the International Conference on Research in Air Transportation, Zilina, Slovakia, 45-51. Best session paper.
2004

A Case Study for Optimal Dynamic Simulation Allocation in Ordinal Optimization
Chen, C. H., D. He, and M. Fu
Proceeding of American Control Conference, pp. 5754-5759, Boston
June 2004

Seminal Concepts for a New Approach to Continuous-Variable Optimization Under Uncertainty: Probabilistic Ordinal Optimization
Romero, V. J., and C. H. Chen
Proceedings of 10th AIAA Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference, Albany NY
September 2004

2003

Investigation of En route Metrics for Model Validation and Airspace Design
Using the Total Airport and Airspace Modeler (TAAM)
Arash Yousefi , George L. Donohue, and Khurram M. Qureshi
5th EUROCONTROL/FAA ATM R&D  Conference, Budapest, Hungary
June 2003

Efficient simulation of the national airspace system
Shortle, J., D. Gross, B. Mark
Proceedings of the 2003 Winter Simulation Conference, Chick, S., et al. (eds.), 441-448
June 2003

Space-time Correlation Analysis of Quality-of Service at Major US Airports
Loan T. Le, George L. Donohue, and C. H. Chen
Proceedings of 22nd Digital Avionics Systems Conference, Indianapolis, Indiana
to be published

Proposal for Demand Management Using Auction-Based Arrival Slot Allocation
Loan T. Le, Sanaa Kholfi, George L. Donohue, and C. H. Chen
Proceedings of the 5th EUROCONTROL/ FAA ATM R&D Seminar, Budapest, Hungary
June 2003

Air Transportation Systems Engineering Book Review
George L. Donohue and Andres Zellweger
April 2003

SEOR ATL Research Summary
George L. Donohue, C. H. Chen, John Shortle and Karla Hoffma
April 2003

Optimal Computing Budget Allocation for Monte Carlo Simulation with Application to Product Design
C. H. Chen, K. Donohue, E. Yücesan, and J. Lin
Journal of Simulation Practice and Theory, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 57-74
March 2003

Simulating Collision Probabilities of Landing Airplanes at Non-towered Airports
John Shortle, Richard Xie, C. H. Chen and George L. Donohue
January 2003

2002

A Macroscopic Air Transportation Capacity Model: Metrics and Delay Correlation
George L. Donohue
October 2002

The U.S.  Air Transportation System: A Bold Vision for Change
George L. Donohue
September 2002

Very Efficient Simulation for Engineering Design Problem," Modeling and Simulation-Based Life Cycle Engineering
C. H. Chen (K. Chong, S. Saigal, S. Thynell, Ed's)
pp. 291-302, Spon Press, London
2002

United States Air Transportation Capacity: Limits to Growth
George L. Donohue and Russell D. Shaver
February 2002

Modeling the Performance of the National Airspace System
George L. Donohue, Manqin Luo, C. H. Chen, and R. Holland
Proceedings of 2002 Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, Washington, DC
January 2002

2001

An Efficient Approach Integrating Genetic Algorithm, Linear Programming, and Ordinal Optimization for Linear Mixed Integer Programming Problems
Luo, Y. C., C. H. Chen, and M. Guignard-Spielberg
International Journal of Smart Engineering System Design, Vol. 3, pp. 279-287
December 2001

Potential Net Present Value for a Cargo Airline Investment: A Preliminary Analysis
George L. Donohue, Motoko Shimizu, William Laska and Ash Shah
October 2001

An Empirical Evaluation of Several Methods to Select the Best System
Inoue, K., S. E. Chick, and C. H. Chen
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 381-407
October 2001

Scheduling Semiconductor Wafer Fabrication by Using Ordinal Optimization-Based Simulation
Hsieh, B. W., C. H. Chen, and S. C. Chang
IEEE Transactions on Robotics and Automation, Vol. 17, No. 5, pp. 599-608
October 2001

Distributed Web-Based Simulation Experiments For Optimization
Yücesan, E., Y. C. Luo, C. H. Chen, and I. Lee
Journal of Simulation Practice and Theory, Vol. 9, pp. 73-90
September 2001

Testimony before the US house of Representatives Committee on Science, Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics
George L. Donohue
April 2001

AIAA Aerospace America OPED
George L. Donohue
March 2001

2000

Large Convergence Properties of Two-Stage Stochastic Programming
Dai, L., C. H. Chen, and J. R. Birge
Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Vol. 106, No. 3, pp. 489-510
September 2000

AIAA Viewpoint Research Investments in Air Transportation
George L. Donohue
August 2000

United States and European Airport Capacity Assessment Using the GMU Macroscopic Capacity Model
George L. Donohue and William D. Laska
June 2000

Simulation Budget Allocation for Further Enhancing the Efficiency of Ordinal Optimization
Chen, C. H., J. Lin, E. Yücesan, and S. E. Chick
Journal of Discrete Event Dynamic Systems: Theory and Applications, Vol. 10, pp. 251-270
July 2000

Computing Efforts Allocation for Ordinal Optimization and Discrete Event Simulation
Chen, H. C., C. H. Chen, and E. Yücesan
IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, Vol. 45, No. 5, pp. 960-964
May 2000

1999

Air Traffic Service Privitization: Will the U.S. Join the Club
George L. Donohue
1999

A Simplified Air Transportation System Capacity Model
George L. Donohue
June 1999